União Santarém vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
7º
6º
26
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
USA
2 - 0
ATL
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
USA
2 - 1
ESA
15%
20%
65%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
USA
19%
24%
58%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
USA
1 - 1
LUS
52%
24%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
USA
0 - 0
VST
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SCP
1 - 1
OLI
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SPC
2 - 3
SCP
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SCP
2 - 1
TRO
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 2
SAO
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ESA
3 - 0
SCP
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |