União Santarém vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
ACA
0 - 4
USA
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
USA
2 - 0
LUS
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CAL
0 - 1
USA
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
OLI
0 - 2
USA
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
USA
1 - 2
SPC
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
CAL
1 - 1
SPC
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
SPC
1 - 1
CAL
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
OLI
1 - 0
SPC
40%
26%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
SPC
1 - 2
LUS
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
SPC
1 - 1
ACA
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |