União Santarém vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
10º
1º
14
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
28 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 18 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 18 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 12 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 12 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 12 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 12 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 9 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 9 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 7 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
LUS
1 - 1
USA
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
USA
0 - 0
CAL
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
SPC
0 - 1
USA
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
USA
2 - 0
OLI
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
USA
0 - 0
ACA
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
LUS
2 - 0
SPC
36%
27%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
SPC
0 - 1
USA
40%
26%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
ACA
2 - 1
SPC
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
SPC
1 - 1
OLI
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
CAL
0 - 1
SPC
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |