União Santarém vs Pêro Pinheiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
11º
2º
48
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
37% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
63% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
USA
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
USA
1 - 1
SIN
30%
27%
43%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
USA
0 - 1
MAF
10%
19%
71%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
USA
3 - 0
SAB
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 0
USA
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pêro Pinheiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PER
3 - 1
BEN
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PER
4 - 0
POM
37%
24%
40%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
UDR
0 - 1
PER
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
PER
2 - 1
FER
60%
23%
17%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
MAR
40%
26%
35%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |