União Santarém vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
72.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
USA
82%
13%
6%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
USA
1 - 4
PRA
6%
16%
79%
|
18 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CON
0 - 1
USA
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
USA
2 - 3
BEN
8%
15%
77%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
USA
1 - 2
FAR
5%
12%
83%
|
18 | 63 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
IDE
2 - 0
GDF
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
BMA
4 - 0
IDE
87%
10%
3%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
IDE
1 - 2
FAT
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 2
IDE
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
IDE
55%
24%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |