Gaucho 2 Knock-out stages Quarter-finals
Global 5-1
União RS vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 2
URS
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
URS
1 - 1
VER
35%
28%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CRU
0 - 1
URS
27%
27%
46%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
URS
2 - 1
PAS
50%
25%
26%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
URS
2 - 0
TUP
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 2
URS
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ECA
0 - 0
SAO
43%
27%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 0
GEB
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
3 - 0
SGA
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |