União RS vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
URS
0 - 0
PAN
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
URS
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
URS
1 - 2
GFC
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
PAS
2 - 0
URS
43%
24%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 2
URS
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
GAU
1 - 3
SAO
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 0
GLO
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
PAS
2 - 1
SAO
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2012 |
SAO
4 - 1
RIO
64%
21%
16%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 1
SAO
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |