União RS vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 3
URS
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
URS
2 - 1
RIO
51%
24%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
PAS
1 - 1
URS
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
URS
2 - 0
BRA
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
PAS
2 - 0
URS
54%
23%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
BRA
35%
25%
41%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
SAO
5 - 2
BRA
35%
25%
39%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +3 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
SAO
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAS
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 1
SAO
48%
26%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |