União RS vs Real SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
GRA
1 - 0
URS
34%
25%
42%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
PAS
1 - 0
URS
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
URS
2 - 1
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
URS
0 - 0
LAJ
37%
27%
37%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
BRA
3 - 0
URS
25%
25%
49%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Real SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
RSC
0 - 1
GRA
14%
17%
69%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
GLO
0 - 0
RSC
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 0
RSC
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
RSC
1 - 2
ESP
17%
19%
64%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2025 |
AIM
2 - 0
RSC
63%
21%
17%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |