União RS vs Guarany Camaqua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
GAU
4 - 2
URS
21%
22%
57%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
SSR
2 - 2
URS
41%
24%
35%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
URS
3 - 0
GLO
46%
24%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
URS
1 - 1
YPI
26%
24%
50%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
URS
1 - 3
RIO
39%
25%
37%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Guarany Camaqua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
GFC
0 - 1
SSR
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
ISM
3 - 1
GFC
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 1
GFC
61%
23%
16%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
GFC
1 - 0
GLO
39%
25%
37%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
YPI
2 - 1
GFC
68%
20%
13%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |