Gaucho 2 Knock-outs Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
União RS vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
URS
0 - 1
SLU
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
URS
3 - 1
GAU
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
GLO
0 - 0
URS
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
URS
2 - 1
TUP
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
PAS
2 - 0
URS
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SGA
1 - 2
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 0
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
ISM
1 - 1
GUA
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
PEL
2 - 1
GUA
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
LAJ
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |