União RS vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
69.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
AIM
2 - 0
URS
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
SLU
1 - 0
URS
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
URS
2 - 1
JUV
11%
21%
69%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
YPI
3 - 1
URS
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
SCI
2 - 0
URS
87%
10%
3%
|
52 | 86 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 1
JUV
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
AIM
1 - 2
GRE
10%
21%
70%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
GUA
95%
4%
1%
|
86 | 43 | 43 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
ECS
84%
12%
5%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
GRE
11%
24%
65%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |