União RS vs Gaúcho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
ISM
1 - 0
URS
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
AIM
0 - 0
URS
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
URS
1 - 1
RSC
68%
19%
14%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
GEB
1 - 0
URS
41%
26%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
URS
0 - 0
NOV
22%
25%
53%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Gaúcho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
GAU
1 - 1
BRA
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
GAU
0 - 2
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
PAS
1 - 0
GAU
56%
23%
20%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
LAJ
2 - 1
GAU
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
GAU
2 - 3
VER
30%
28%
42%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |