Super Copa Gaúcha 1/16
Global 1-2
União RS vs EC São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
51.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
ECS
2 - 0
URS
59%
24%
17%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
VER
2 - 1
URS
63%
21%
15%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
URS
0 - 1
SCI
10%
21%
70%
|
43 | 83 | 40 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
PAS
1 - 1
URS
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ECA
1 - 1
URS
43%
26%
32%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
ECS
2 - 0
URS
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ECS
1 - 1
GRE
12%
24%
64%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
CAX
1 - 0
ECS
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
ECS
2 - 2
CRU
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ECS
0 - 1
NOV
35%
29%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |