União RS vs Brasil Farroupilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
TUP
1 - 2
URS
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PAS
0 - 0
URS
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
URS
2 - 2
CRU
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
VER
2 - 1
URS
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
PAS
1 - 1
URS
51%
25%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 2
CRU
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
VER
2 - 0
BRA
71%
19%
10%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 2
GLO
22%
25%
53%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
IGR
0 - 2
BRA
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
VER
0 - 0
BRA
73%
18%
9%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | +1 |