União RS vs Brasil Farroupilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
URS
0 - 0
CAX
33%
28%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 0
URS
46%
27%
27%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
URS
0 - 0
BRA
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
CAX
1 - 1
URS
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
URS
0 - 1
PEL
36%
28%
36%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Brasil Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
PEL
41%
29%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 0
URS
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
URS
0 - 0
BRA
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
PEL
0 - 0
BRA
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
CAX
35%
29%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |