União RS vs Brasil Farroupilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
CAX
1 - 1
URS
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
URS
0 - 1
PEL
36%
28%
36%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
SLU
0 - 0
URS
36%
27%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
URS
0 - 1
CAX
36%
28%
36%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
TUP
1 - 2
URS
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Brasil Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
PEL
0 - 0
BRA
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
CAX
35%
29%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 1
ECA
53%
26%
21%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SGA
1 - 0
BRA
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 0
PEL
45%
28%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |