Matogrossense Semi-finals
Global 2-4
União Rondonópolis vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Rondonópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CUI
2 - 0
URO
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
URO
3 - 1
SOR
65%
19%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SOR
1 - 3
URO
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
URO
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
URO
2 - 1
BAR
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CUI
2 - 0
URO
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
CUI
2 - 1
RON
70%
17%
12%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
RON
3 - 3
CUI
27%
24%
50%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
LUV
2 - 2
CUI
60%
22%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
OPE
1 - 4
CUI
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |