Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 1-3
URT vs Volta Redonda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
35.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
DES
0 - 1
URT
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
URT
0 - 0
VOL
34%
28%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
URT
4 - 0
GOI
67%
20%
14%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
GOI
1 - 3
URT
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
VOL
1 - 0
URT
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Volta Redonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
VOL
4 - 0
GOI
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
URT
0 - 0
VOL
34%
28%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
DES
1 - 2
VOL
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
VOL
0 - 0
DES
60%
23%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
VOL
1 - 0
URT
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |