URT vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
68.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
URT
1 - 1
CRZ
10%
23%
68%
|
49 | 85 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2019 |
URT
1 - 0
TFC
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
URT
3 - 2
COT
7%
15%
79%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
AMF
3 - 1
URT
81%
14%
4%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
ATM
4 - 0
URT
89%
10%
2%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 1
GOI
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
APA
1 - 2
VIL
14%
21%
65%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 1
VIL
4%
10%
86%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 2
GOI
78%
17%
5%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ITU
0 - 1
VIL
7%
16%
77%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |