URT vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 0
URT
47%
25%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 0
URT
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
URT
1 - 1
BOA
30%
28%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
URT
2 - 2
VIL
12%
20%
69%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
URT
1 - 1
CRZ
10%
23%
68%
|
49 | 85 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
TUP
0 - 3
CRZ
11%
23%
66%
|
50 | 86 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
BOA
4 - 1
TUP
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
TUP
0 - 2
PAT
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ATM
2 - 0
TUP
88%
10%
2%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 0
TUP
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |