URT vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
40.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
URT
1 - 4
BOA
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CRZ
1 - 0
URT
89%
9%
2%
|
49 | 87 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
URT
3 - 0
DEM
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
MIN
1 - 0
URT
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 1
URT
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
3 - 1
MIN
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 1
TUP
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TUP
1 - 0
JUV
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
JUV
4 - 0
TUP
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
TUP
3 - 2
MIX
55%
25%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |