URT vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
52.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
URT
1 - 1
CAL
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
PAT
2 - 1
URT
44%
27%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 1
URT
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
URT
1 - 1
TRE
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
URT
4 - 2
ESP
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
TOM
1 - 0
ATM
11%
21%
68%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
TUP
1 - 1
TOM
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
TOM
0 - 0
BOT
29%
30%
41%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
CUI
2 - 1
TOM
62%
24%
15%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
VOL
0 - 2
TOM
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |