URT vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BOA
1 - 2
URT
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
URT
0 - 1
VIL
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CRZ
0 - 0
URT
84%
13%
4%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 2
URT
64%
22%
15%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
URT
0 - 2
CRZ
9%
19%
72%
|
47 | 88 | 41 | -1 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
TOM
1 - 2
CRZ
10%
21%
69%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 1
TOM
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
TOM
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
TOM
0 - 0
JUV
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TOM
3 - 3
GUA
54%
25%
22%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |