URT vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
46.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 0
URT
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
URT
0 - 5
ATM
12%
21%
67%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
URT
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 0
URT
79%
15%
7%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
URT
1 - 0
TUP
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 1
TUP
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
TOM
13%
20%
67%
|
56 | 23 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
TOM
0 - 0
BOA
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 3
TOM
34%
24%
42%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 1
GUA
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |