URT vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
78.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
LON
1 - 1
URT
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
URT
3 - 2
LON
29%
23%
48%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2001 |
MIX
2 - 0
URT
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2001 |
URT
2 - 1
MIX
15%
21%
64%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2000 |
FLU
2 - 0
URT
83%
13%
5%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 0
ITU
77%
16%
7%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAN
12%
19%
70%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 0
PAL
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
SAO
2 - 3
SAN
30%
26%
44%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 0
RIO
91%
7%
2%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |