URT vs Patrocinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
COI
1 - 1
URT
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
URT
1 - 0
ITU
20%
26%
54%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 1
URT
64%
22%
14%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
SER
0 - 0
URT
55%
23%
21%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2019 |
URT
0 - 0
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
PAT
2 - 0
VIL
43%
28%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
PAT
1 - 0
SDJ
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
SDJ
1 - 0
PAT
44%
27%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
OPE
1 - 2
PAT
45%
25%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
PAT
0 - 1
ANA
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |