URT vs Patrocinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
URT
2 - 1
MIN
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
DEM
2 - 2
URT
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
UBE
1 - 2
URT
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
URT
1 - 1
MAM
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
URT
2 - 0
DEM
58%
22%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
PAT
0 - 0
DEM
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MIN
0 - 2
PAT
29%
24%
47%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MAM
5 - 2
PAT
39%
26%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
PAT
2 - 0
USC
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
UBE
1 - 1
PAT
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |