URT vs Patrocinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
URT
2 - 0
USC
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
DEM
2 - 0
URT
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MAM
3 - 0
URT
38%
26%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
URT
1 - 0
UBE
34%
26%
41%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MAM
2 - 1
URT
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
PAT
4 - 1
DEM
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 0
UBE
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
USC
1 - 3
PAT
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 2
MAM
49%
25%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
PAT
2 - 1
FUN
57%
22%
22%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |