URT vs Patrocinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
UBE
2 - 1
URT
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
URT
1 - 1
ARA
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
URT
1 - 0
FUN
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FUN
2 - 5
URT
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 1
URT
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
MAM
2 - 0
PAT
34%
26%
41%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
PAT
1 - 1
UBE
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 0
PAT
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
PAT
1 - 1
ARA
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
UBE
1 - 1
PAT
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |