Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 2-3
URT vs Mixto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
64.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2000 |
FLU
2 - 0
URT
83%
13%
5%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2000 |
URT
1 - 1
FLU
12%
19%
70%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1997 |
MIX
0 - 3
COR
27%
25%
48%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1990 |
MIX
1 - 0
OPE
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +2 |
| 22 Jun. 1990 |
OPE
2 - 0
MIX
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 1989 |
GRE
1 - 0
MIX
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1989 |
MIX
0 - 5
GRE
47%
25%
29%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -2 |