URT vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
URT
2 - 0
ITU
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 1
URT
28%
27%
45%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ATM
1 - 0
URT
88%
10%
2%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
URT
2 - 0
BOA
22%
27%
52%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
CRZ
3 - 0
URT
83%
13%
4%
|
51 | 86 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 1
ESP
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ITU
2 - 2
MAC
34%
27%
40%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 2
MAC
48%
25%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 0
FLA
11%
22%
67%
|
49 | 86 | 37 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 1
VOL
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |