URT vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
56.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
URT
4 - 1
DEM
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
AMF
0 - 0
URT
75%
18%
7%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
URT
1 - 0
CAL
41%
27%
31%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
VOL
2 - 0
URT
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
URT
1 - 1
VOL
37%
28%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MIX
2 - 4
LUV
15%
24%
60%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
LUV
2 - 1
CEC
81%
14%
6%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
LUV
2 - 1
OPE
82%
14%
5%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SIN
1 - 1
LUV
12%
22%
67%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CRB
3 - 0
LUV
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |