Série D Brazil Final Stages Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
URT vs Globo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 1
URT
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
URT
0 - 0
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
URT
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
URT
1 - 0
POR
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
URT
0 - 0
POR
41%
26%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
GLO
3 - 1
GUA
56%
24%
21%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 1
GLO
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
GLO
2 - 0
PAR
60%
23%
18%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 3
GLO
31%
27%
42%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
GLO
2 - 0
PAR
52%
24%
23%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |