URT vs Formiga EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
PAT
0 - 0
URT
55%
23%
23%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
NEC
4 - 3
URT
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
URT
2 - 0
NEC
27%
24%
50%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
URT
0 - 1
PAT
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
FEC
0 - 0
URT
45%
25%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Formiga EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
FEC
1 - 0
NEC
24%
24%
53%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
PAT
2 - 0
FEC
62%
22%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FEC
2 - 4
PAT
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
NEC
3 - 2
FEC
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
FEC
0 - 0
URT
45%
25%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |