URT vs EC Itauna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
ARA
2 - 0
URT
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
URT
0 - 0
IPA
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
PDC
0 - 0
URT
35%
25%
41%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
URT
1 - 1
ECI
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
IPA
0 - 0
URT
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
EC Itauna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 2
ECI
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ECI
1 - 1
AME
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
FEC
1 - 1
ECI
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
URT
1 - 1
ECI
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
ECI
1 - 0
CAL
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +3 |