URT vs Desportiva Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ATM
2 - 0
URT
84%
12%
4%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
URT
2 - 2
ATM
11%
20%
70%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
URT
1 - 1
AMF
14%
22%
65%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
UBE
0 - 1
URT
50%
25%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
URT
2 - 1
TUP
32%
28%
40%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
DES
1 - 0
ESP
62%
22%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 1
DES
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
DES
2 - 0
REA
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 1
DES
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 4
DES
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |