URT vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
CRZ
3 - 0
URT
82%
14%
5%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
URT
1 - 1
ATH
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
URT
0 - 5
AMF
11%
24%
65%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 1
URT
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
URT
1 - 1
BOA
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
AMF
7%
22%
71%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
APA
3 - 1
CAL
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 0
APA
23%
28%
49%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 2
RIO
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FER
3 - 1
CAL
63%
23%
15%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |