URT vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
PAT
2 - 1
URT
44%
27%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 1
URT
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
URT
1 - 1
TRE
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
URT
4 - 2
ESP
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ITU
0 - 1
URT
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 1
AMF
8%
19%
73%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 1
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
MAD
3 - 1
CAL
39%
28%
34%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 0
LIN
27%
28%
45%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 0
CAL
62%
23%
15%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |