URT vs Audax São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
AUD
0 - 1
URT
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
URT
0 - 1
ITU
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
URT
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ATM
3 - 0
URT
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
URT
1 - 1
ATM
10%
19%
71%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
AUD
0 - 1
URT
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
AUD
0 - 1
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ITU
1 - 0
AUD
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
AUD
1 - 2
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 2
AUD
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |