URT vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
70.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
URT
1 - 1
TOM
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BOA
1 - 2
URT
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
URT
0 - 1
VIL
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CRZ
0 - 0
URT
84%
13%
4%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 2
URT
64%
22%
15%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
ATM
1 - 0
IVT
59%
22%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ATM
5 - 1
BOA
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 2
ATM
31%
26%
43%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
ATM
9%
19%
72%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
ATM
2 - 0
CAL
85%
12%
3%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |