União Nogueirense U19 vs Valadares Gaia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
21%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-90%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
4º
3º
23
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 27 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 26 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
24 | 25 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
|
5º
|
23 | 24 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Nogueirense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 1
NOG
18%
19%
63%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
NOG
0 - 1
ESP
76%
15%
10%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 1
NOG
19%
20%
62%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NOG
2 - 2
LEX
47%
25%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LAM
1 - 5
NOG
7%
13%
80%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Valadares Gaia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 2
ESP
71%
16%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 1
SOU
59%
19%
22%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LEX
1 - 2
VAL
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VAL
4 - 0
LAM
87%
9%
4%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 0
VAL
28%
21%
51%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -2 |