União Nogueirense U19 vs Sousense U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
21%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
4º
3º
26
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
26 | 27 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 26 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
24 | 25 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 24 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Nogueirense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
LEX
2 - 0
NOG
35%
22%
42%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
NOG
6 - 0
LAM
88%
9%
3%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PAD
2 - 2
NOG
21%
20%
59%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NOG
3 - 2
VAL
59%
20%
21%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 1
NOG
18%
19%
63%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Sousense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
SOU
2 - 2
ESP
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
PEN
3 - 3
SOU
29%
21%
51%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LEX
0 - 2
SOU
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SOU
4 - 0
LAM
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PAD
4 - 5
SOU
45%
21%
34%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |