União Nogueirense U19 vs Padroense FC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-85%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
9º
4º
22
4º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Nogueirense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 1
NOG
21%
20%
60%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
NOG
1 - 0
FEI
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LAM
2 - 2
NOG
9%
14%
77%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
NOG
4 - 1
SOU
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NOG
1 - 1
LEX
43%
23%
34%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Padroense FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 2
LEX
31%
22%
47%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LUS
1 - 1
PAD
73%
15%
12%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
PAD
0 - 2
VAL
36%
22%
42%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
PAD
36%
22%
42%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SOU
2 - 1
PAD
29%
22%
50%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |