União Nogueirense U19 vs Leixões U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-85%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
9º
4º
34
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Nogueirense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LUS
2 - 1
NOG
55%
20%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 5
NOG
55%
20%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NOG
1 - 0
PEN
67%
18%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PAD
0 - 2
NOG
45%
21%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NOG
2 - 3
ESP
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LEX
2 - 0
SOU
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LUS
1 - 0
LEX
54%
21%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LEX
1 - 2
VAL
46%
22%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 2
LEX
25%
21%
55%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LEX
5 - 1
PAD
54%
21%
25%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |