União Montemor vs Messinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Montemor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
RED
0 - 1
UNI
15%
21%
64%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 1
LAG
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ALJ
2 - 1
UNI
23%
23%
54%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 0
SES
70%
18%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
DES
0 - 3
UNI
11%
19%
70%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Messinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
MES
1 - 4
FAR
10%
22%
68%
|
29 | 71 | 42 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FAB
1 - 0
MES
84%
13%
4%
|
29 | 70 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
RED
0 - 1
MES
20%
22%
58%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MES
2 - 1
LAG
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ALJ
0 - 1
MES
38%
24%
37%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |