União Montemor vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
60.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Montemor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FAB
1 - 1
UNI
80%
14%
6%
|
34 | 67 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 2
FAR
10%
22%
68%
|
34 | 71 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MES
0 - 0
UNI
38%
25%
38%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
RED
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LAG
0 - 0
UNI
24%
24%
52%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1950 |
EST
10 - 0
LUS
85%
9%
6%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
LUS
1 - 1
OLH
42%
23%
35%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
LUS
3 - 0
VIT
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
OEL
6 - 1
LUS
75%
14%
11%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
LUS
2 - 4
ACA
52%
20%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |