União Montemor vs Lagoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Montemor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ALJ
2 - 1
UNI
23%
23%
54%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 0
SES
70%
18%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
DES
0 - 3
UNI
11%
19%
70%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 3
LAG
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
QUA
1 - 0
UNI
45%
24%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lagoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LAG
0 - 0
FAR
9%
21%
71%
|
22 | 71 | 49 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MES
2 - 1
LAG
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LAG
1 - 0
RED
65%
20%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FAB
4 - 0
LAG
83%
13%
4%
|
22 | 71 | 49 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ALJ
1 - 1
LAG
58%
22%
21%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |