Paulista B Final Stages Semi-finals
Global 1-3
União Mogi vs Manthiqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
28%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Mogi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 2
UNI
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
UNI
4 - 3
SAO
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +3 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
ECN
0 - 1
UNI
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 1
AME
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 3
MAU
36%
23%
41%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 0
OSV
35%
22%
42%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
OSV
1 - 0
MAN
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 0
JOS
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
CAT
0 - 0
MAN
51%
21%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
PRI
0 - 1
MAN
59%
22%
19%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +1 |