União Mogi vs Grêmio Osasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
59%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Mogi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
FRA
1 - 0
UNI
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 57 | 40 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
INT
5 - 1
UNI
78%
15%
8%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 3
BAN
20%
22%
57%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
AUD
2 - 1
UNI
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 56 | 38 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 0
GRE
22%
23%
56%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 0
GRÊ
15%
20%
65%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
BAT
2 - 2
GRE
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ITA
3 - 2
GRE
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
5 - 1
PEN
35%
25%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
XVD
4 - 1
GRE
69%
19%
13%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |